Weekend of April 20-22, 2012
Think Like a Man – $24,000,000 estimate – My prediction: Under – $33,636,303 actual – Over
The Lucky One – $21,000,000 estimate – My prediction: Under – $22,518,358 actual – Over
Chimpanzee – $6,500,000 estimate – My prediction: Under – $10,673,748 actual – Over
The Hunger Games is finally knocked down from the top spot by two new openers. All three new releases performed better than the estimates. No one guesses correctly on all of them, but I certainly guessed incorrectly on all of them. There goes my two month score.
Think Like a Man's $33.6 mil opening is quite the surprise, especially when you consider that it was only in 2,015 theatres. Not a single one of us playing the Over/Under game got this one correct. That either says something about the demographic that the movie was marketed towards, or our sheer lack of awareness.
The Lucky One also managed to beat The Hunger Games. It was the second-best start for a Nicholas Sparks movie behind 2010's Dear John. I referenced Zac Efron's Charlie St. Cloud when looking at this film and didn't think it would do much better. I was wrong.
Chimpanzee came out in fourth place this weekend, which is actually a great start. It's the best opening weekend for a nature documentary ever. In terms of all documentaries, it placed third for all-time.
Since Think Like a Man was only in 2,015 theatres and made the most money, it topped the per theatre average chart with $16,693. However, keep in mind that there weren't any buzz-worthy indie flicks in limited release. Darling Companion was the only one that came close with $9,991 in four theatres. That's the one with Diane Keaton and Kevin Kline about a loved dog that gets lost. The Lucky One followed up in third on PTA with $7,137.
We've got four new releases seeing 2,000+ screens this weekend. First up is The Pirates! Band of Misfits, which will likely see the most theatres this weekend. The stop-motion animated film from the makers of Chicken Run and Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit will likely see some good cash considering that the last animated film out was The Lorax. The rom-com The Five-Year Engagement will be out Friday, co-written, directed, and produced by Nicholas Stoller. He's the guy behind Forgetting Sarah Marshall and the spin-off/sequel Get Him to the Greek. Safe, the default Jason Statham action flick, will be in about 2,200 theatres, which is only slightly more than The Raven, which should see around 2,000. The Raven stars John Cusack and is a fictional account of the last days of Edgar Allan Poe's life. For limited releases, Bernie will probably lead the pack in screen amounts. It stars Jack Black as a trusted traveler and accountant of a widow who is found dead. Thriller/drama Sound of My Voice should see a few theatres and is about a documentary filmmaking couple intent on exposing a young woman leading a mysterious group. Offbeat romantic comedy The Giant Mechanical Man stars Jenna Fischer and Chris Messina and should see a good indie showing. Last, and perhaps least, James Franco's writing/directing/starring film The Broken Tower will see some screens. We'll see how that goes.
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